Category : Blockchain

Blockchain

Voter character debate boosts Lula to 56.5% on Polymarket Brazil election

A political commentary piece this week argued voters, not parties, set the incentives that shape candidates’ character, urging integrity and fitness as decisive criteria. (Read More)

U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%

Brent crude rose about 0.9% Monday to $73.21 after U.S. Central Command said it struck Iran over alleged vessel attacks in the Strait of Hormuz. (Read More)

US-Iran talks fray as Polymarket puts Dec 31 nuclear deal odds at 45.5%

Fresh exchanges between the United States and Iran have put a reported preliminary understanding in doubt, complicating the push toward a finalized nuclear agreement. (Read More)

Fetterman–McCormick dodge Shapiro as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 91.5%

At a Pennsylvania “Great American State Fair” booth, senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick shared a stop while sidestepping questions about Gov. Josh Shapiro. (Read More)

Drone hits raise Russia strain; Polymarket sees 11.5% chance Putin exits by 2026

As the war entered its fifth year, Ukraine’s drone campaign set a major oil refinery in southern Russia on fire, and Putin acknowledged a “certain deficit” of fuel while promising tougher protection (Read More)

Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran strikes as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 81.5%

West Texas Intermediate rose 0.71% to $69.72 after fresh U.S.-Iran strikes and a continued Strait of Hormuz blockade stoked supply fears. (Read More)

Azteca showdown vs Ecuador nudges Mexico to 43.5% on Polymarket

Tuesday at Azteca Stadium, co-host Mexico and Ecuador meet with a last-16 spot on the line after Ecuador’s 2-1 comeback over Germany and Mexico’s perfect, unbeaten group run. (Read More)

Hezbollah rhetoric hits Lebanon recognition odds as Polymarket slips to 21%

In a fresh statement, Iran-backed Hezbollah said it has a “right to defend its homeland” in Lebanon, underscoring continued readiness for confrontation amid high regional tensions. (Read More)

Tehran presses for Hormuz control as Polymarket sees 7.5% odds of normal traffic

In a live war update, Tehran insisted on controlling the Strait of Hormuz, while separate accounts pointed to talks involving the United States. (Read More)

Hegseth Pentagon firings spur Hill scrutiny as Polymarket stays at 49%

Congress is pressing Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for answers after a wave of senior Pentagon firings, including Gen. Chris Donahue, raised bipartisan worries about wartime decision-making. (Read More)

Supreme Court rulings near as Polymarket cuts Newsom 2028 Dem odds to 20.55%

In the next few days, the Supreme Court is expected to issue several major rulings, including cases that could reshape presidential power and election rules ahead of the midterms. (Read More)

Hormuz halt report points to Qatar talks as Polymarket holds Doha at 48%

A report says the US and Iran agreed to halt Hormuz-linked attacks and plan Qatar talks on Tuesday to ease tensions around the strait. (Read More)

US-Iran strike pause shifts 2028 betting, Polymarket puts Vance at 19.25%

A U.S. official said Washington and Tehran agreed to halt strikes and meet this week, signaling a near-term push to cool tensions. (Read More)

Iran cancels technical talks as Polymarket puts 2026 deal odds at 45.5%

After recent attacks, Iran canceled planned technical talks, state TV reported, offering no new timetable and adding uncertainty to the nuclear track. (Read More)

Dnipropetrovsk hit refocuses front as Polymarket Crimea odds rise to 13.5%

Over the past day, Russian forces launched 40-plus attacks across Ukraine’s Dnipropetrovsk region, injuring two people and damaging homes and infrastructure, local officials said. (Read More)

Ceasefire-collapse report hits Polymarket as Trump Iran-entry odds slide

A new report warned the U.S.-Iran ceasefire could still fail, casting doubt on how long the current pause in hostilities lasts. (Read More)

Murphy pushes $25 minimum wage as Polymarket prices Vance at 19% for 2028

On Sunday, Sen. Chris Murphy said a $25 federal minimum wage could help Democrats win back working-class voters, backing his Living Wage for All Act to phase it in over years. (Read More)

US-Iran MoU keeps deal clock ticking as Polymarket prices 44.5% by Dec 31

A June 28 opinion analysis said the US-Iran MoU is best seen as a pause, not a peace framework, warning Tehran may abandon commitments when convenient. (Read More)

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%

Bank of America updated its outlook this week, raising global growth expectations and projecting 75 bps of additional Fed hikes even as inflation cools. (Read More)

Iran warns on Hormuz as Polymarket July 15 normalization odds drop to 12.5%

Iran’s foreign minister said any challenge to the Strait of Hormuz would “increase tensions,” highlighting risks to the key shipping lane. (Read More)

Iran attacks widen conflict as Polymarket cuts Trump Iran-entry odds to 10%

After U.S. strikes, Iran reportedly attacked Bahrain and Kuwait and warned it could halt talks to end the war, widening the conflict ahead of the June 30 deadline. (Read More)

BIS flags debt and AI risks as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 81.5%

On Sunday, the Bank for International Settlements warned that rising debt, an AI-fueled boom, and lingering financial fragilities could amplify shocks and complicate policy. (Read More)

Supreme Court week spotlights Trump power as Polymarket keeps Vance at 19.25%

In the coming week, the Supreme Court is set for a compressed run of major decisions that could define the limits on presidential authority and checks on executive power. (Read More)

AAVE Price Prediction: Momentum Dead-Flat at $90 — Bulls Must Reclaim $93 or Watch the Floor Disappear

AAVE printed a brutal near-8% intraday rejection off $97.87, and with MACD momentum hitting a precise zero and price hugging the upper Bollinger Band, the next 48 hours decide everything — reclaim ... (Read More)

LDO Price Prediction: Smart Money Is Loading at $0.25 — But the Downtrend Hasn't Broken Yet

LDO is trading at $0.247 with every major moving average stacked above it like a wall, yet top traders have pushed to 61% long exposure and aggressive buy flow is dominating short-term order books ... (Read More)

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